Open lecture by Doctor of Economics Shevchuk IB on the topic: “Expert forecasting methods”

14.05.2021 | 11:42

May 13, 2021 Head of the Department of Digital Economics and Business Analytics, Doctor of Economics, Assoc. Shevchuk I.B. for students of UFE-31c group studying in the educational program “Information Technology in Business” specialty 051 “Economics”, using the tools of the corporate platform for communications and joint data processing Microsoft Teams was held an open lecture on “Expert forecasting methods” in the discipline “Forecasting of socio-economic processes”.

The purpose of the lecture was to get acquainted with the features of expert forecasting and understanding the need to build combined forecasts in the study of patterns and trends in socio-economic phenomena and processes.

The following issues were covered at the lecture:

  • The essence and types of expert methods.
  • Delphi expert evaluation method.
  • Selection of experts.
  • Organizing and conducting an expert survey.
  • Determination of quantitative parameters and indicators of the expert survey.
  • Assessing the degree of consistency of opinion.
  • Analysis of the results of the expert survey.
  • Joint use of forecasting results by expert and mathematical methods.

The class was attended by: Dean of the Faculty of Financial Management and Business, Ph.D., Assoc. Stasyshyn A.V.; Teachers of the Department of Digital Economics and Business Analytics: Assoc. Deputat B.Ya., Assoc. Starukh A.I., Assoc. Myshchyshyn O.Ya., Assoc. Zadorozhna A.V., senior teacher Vaskiv O.M.

At the end there was a discussion of the lesson. Researchers noted the content of the lecture (the topic is fully disclosed), informative (the lecture contains interesting material), connection with practice (shows the practical significance of the presented material), logic, free possession of material, emotionality (sense of interest of the lecturer and his personal opinion). ), progressive innovative format (application of services for remote work Mentimeter and Kahoot), contact with the audience, language culture, accessibility and pace of presentation.

In general, the lecture was given at a high scientific and methodological level and meets the modern requirements of higher education.